Current Location: 22.5N, 95.5W
Geographic Reference: 140 Miles East of Tampico, MX
Movement: Nearly Stationary
Max Winds: 45 mph gusting to 60 mph
Current Hurricane Severity Index: 3 out of a possible 50 points (1 size, 2 intensity)
Max Predicted Hurricane Severity Index: 21 out of a possible 50 points (9 size, 12 intensity)
Current Radius of Tropical Storm-Force Winds: 60 miles
Max Predicted Radius of Tropical Storm-Force Winds: 310 miles
Organizational Trend: Steadily Organizing
Forecast Confidence: Average
Estimated Central Pressure: 1005 mb

Key Points

• Tropical Storm Milton is predicted to become a strong hurricane prior to reaching Florida on Wednesday. Winds are forecast to be 115 mph.
• There is considerable uncertainty as to its intensity as well as with the precise landfall location in Florida.  Landfall is expected to occur a little south of Tampa Bay shortly after noon Wednesday.
• Significant wind and wave impacts are expected.
• The storm is currently stationary over the northwest Gulf but should begin moving to the ENE tonight.

Captiva Island Information

• Rainfall amounts of 6-9 inches possible for Sanibel and Captiva Island on Wednesday, resulting in travel issues.
• Possible storm surge of 5-10 feet are possible on Wednesday as the center nears the coast of Florida to the north. Major coastal flooding and some damage is expected.
• Any remaining sand from Hurricane Helene can be found here.